OK….as I wage a battle against sleep deprivation reality is beginning to sink in. No….not all the weight gained from multi-course dinners or two week’s worth of email that awaits but the realization that we are more than half-way through the FBB season and RObert is on top of the standings. The quest to knock him off begins with this week’s line up:
OU (-5.5) vs. Kansas
Kansas St. (+14) vs. Texas Tech
Colorado (+17.5) vs. Texas
Louisville (-7) vs. West Virginia
Florida (+6) vs. LSU
And my sleep deprived calls…..
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OU (-5.5) vs. Kansas |
Everyone is giving the Sooners two touchdowns on this one. And why shouldn’t I? What is listed as a home game is actually played in KC at Arrowhead for revenue purposes – home field advantage negated. And then there is the KU offense….God awful. Rotating quarterbacks like defensive linemen is not proving to be a worthwhile scheme for Mangino and company. The hotseat discussions are beyond a whisper as it is beginning to looks like qualifying for postseason play will be an uphill climb. If KU drops this one they will need to pick up wins against mizzou, Iowa State, and Nebraska. Doable if we shore up our offensive woes in a hurry.
This said, the KU defense is the type of defense that will make us competitive in games like this weekend’s. KU is #3 in the nation against the run…..not good for a team lead by a wobbly Peterson. This will force OU to go to the air….and mistake ridden Bomar will have flashbacks of the decleating experienced in the Cotton Bowl. Comments made to the media this week by the defensive leaders make it clear that they feel they will need to carry this team across the board. That may mean in the scoring department as well. Expect and aggressive, blitzing D trying to create opportunities for themselves. The Flying Manginos won’t cover but they will keep it under two touchdowns.
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Kansas St. (+14) vs. Texas Tech |
Tech was lucky to get out of Lincoln alive last week. Up three touchdowns they somehow feel asleep on the road and let the Big Red Machine back into the game. Why does this matter this week….well it makes me think that Tech will once again jump all over frosh quarterback early and turn their attention to Texas. OK that is about as far as I can take this one as I am desperately out of material and once again running on little sleep. To quote our Raider backer Tech will have their lean on early but will still cover – completing their sweep of the mighty North.
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Colorado (+17.5) vs. Texas |
IMO….this game could not come at a better time of the Brown and co. Coming off the huge win last week they need the oddsmaker’s Big 12 Championship preview to regain focus. If this was a game against Kansas….I would be calling for the letdown alert.
But that call will need to wait a few more weeks and if CU was not motiviation enough….Texas realizes the aren’t getting any help from Ohio St. in the BCS rankings and need to make some noise against quality opponents. Big wins against quality teams in CU and Tech should help make their case against Va Tech. Expect a pursuing Harris to be all over Klatt; creating opportunities for the relatively untested Texas secondary. That said, Barnett will continue to marvel everyone and keep this under the line. Texas will win by two touchdowns but fall short of the cover.
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Louisville (-7) vs. West Virginia |
Quite possibly the second of two conference championship previews this weekend as I am betting S Fla will trip themselves up somewhere down the line. That said, UVW could probably recite the S. Fla defensive game plan implemented against the Cards and will tee it up with their Top 10 D. If this was played in the Pizza Hut I would take the Cards to put up 35. But it is on the road and will be closer than Robert can stomach. In the end, Brohm and company will find a way to cover and the Cards position themselves for a shot at the Big East Championship.
Florida (+6) vs. LSU
OK blame sleep deprivation on the fact I pull this game out over the USC vs. ND game. What in the hell was I thinking. Anyway….Florida is lamed and LSU is for real. Look for the Tigers to cover